GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/24/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nova Cidade · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

7 de Abril are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Nova Cidade are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nova Cidade hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (11.0 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Carioca - 2, while Nova Cidade holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nova Cidade

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Nova Cidade has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

7 de AbrilLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Nova CidadeLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
7 de AbrilNova Cidade
18.2Attack33.3
0.0Defence60.6
0.0Form36.4
11.0Power44.5
0.54xG1.41
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