68 Aksaray Belediyesporvs
Kastamonuspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
68 Aksaray Belediyespor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
68 Aksaray Belediyespor 3-0 Kastamonuspor
Original prediction
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.5% | 49.8% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.8% | 25.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.75 | 15.7% | 25.0% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
68 Aksaray Belediyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80