68 Aksaray Belediyesporvs
Adana Demirspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
68 Aksaray Belediyespor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-0 Adana Demirspor
Original prediction
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.4% | 51.4% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.8% | 24.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.8% | 24.2% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
68 Aksaray Belediyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40