GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Carapeguá · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

3 de Noviembre are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sportivo Carapeguá are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Carapeguá hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Division Intermedia, while Sportivo Carapeguá holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Carapeguá

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

14.1%

Sportivo Carapeguá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

3 de NoviembreLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo CarapeguáLWDDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
3 de NoviembreSportivo Carapeguá
25.9Attack40.7
44.4Defence46.3
13.0Form46.3
30.8Power47.1
0.84xG1.31
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