3 de Noviembrevs
Independiente F.b.c.
SCHEDULEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
3 de Noviembre are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Independiente F.b.c. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente F.b.c. hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente F.b.c.
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40