3 de NoviembrevsGuairena FC

COMPLETED

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

3 de Noviembre · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: 3 de Noviembre 0-0 Guairena FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Final result

3 de Noviembre 1-1 Guairena FC

Original prediction

3 de Noviembre

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.09	42.8%	44.5%	1.8 pts
Draw	3.13	28.5%	28.2%	-0.3 pts
Away	3.11	28.7%	27.3%	-1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.8 pts

Projected Score

3 de Noviembre 0–0 Guairena FC

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

3 de Noviembre

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

3 de Noviembre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

3 de NoviembreWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Guairena FCLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5

3 de NoviembreGuairena FC

40.3Attack29.2

48.6Defence55.6

30.6Form33.3

41.5Power41.5

1.15xG0.82