3 de Noviembrevs
Encarnación
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
3 de Noviembre · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
3 de Noviembre 2-2 Encarnación
Original prediction
3 de Noviembre
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 09:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.3% | 37.5% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.8% | 29.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 40.9% | 33.0% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
3 de Noviembre
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
3 de Noviembre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80