GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 4/14/2023, 11:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Recoleta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

3 de Febrero are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Deportivo Recoleta are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Recoleta hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Division Intermedia, while Deportivo Recoleta holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Recoleta

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Deportivo Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

3 de FebreroWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Deportivo RecoletaWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
3 de FebreroDeportivo Recoleta
43.3Attack65.6
53.3Defence50.0
43.3Form56.7
48.0Power57.2
1.35xG1.72
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