Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
2Drots · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
2Drots 0-3 Murom
Original prediction
2Drots
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.4% | 42.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.3% | 28.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.3% | 29.1% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
2Drots
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
2Drots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
2DrotsDWLWD
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
MuromLDDWW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
2DrotsMurom
50.0Attack0.0
83.3Defence100.0
66.7Form33.3
68.0Power45.3
1.48xG0.98