Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
2Drots · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
2Drots are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Murom are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and 2Drots hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Cup, while 2Drots holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
2Drots
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
13.7%
2Drots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60