GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 9/27/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

24 Erzincanspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

24 Erzincanspor 0-0 Kırklarelispor

Original prediction

24 Erzincanspor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5059.6%46.0%-13.6 pts
Draw3.7523.9%26.3%2.4 pts
Away5.4316.5%27.7%11.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

24 Erzincanspor

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

24 Erzincanspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

24 ErzincansporWDDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KırklarelisporLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
24 ErzincansporKırklarelispor
66.7Attack33.3
44.4Defence66.7
55.6Form50.0
59.1Power53.0
1.62xG1.25
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