24 Erzincansporvs
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
24 Erzincanspor 3-1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
Original prediction
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.1% | 34.7% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.9% | 28.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.0% | 36.4% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60