GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 4/6/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

24 de Setiembre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

24 de Setiembre are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Martin Ledesma are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Martin Ledesma hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Division Intermedia, while 24 de Setiembre holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

24 de Setiembre

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

24 de Setiembre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

24 de SetiembreL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Martin LedesmaD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
24 de SetiembreMartin Ledesma
42.2Attack33.3
42.2Defence54.4
32.2Form34.4
40.5Power42.8
1.23xG1.06
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