GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 5/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UT Cotopaxi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

22 de Julio are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UT Cotopaxi are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UT Cotopaxi hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.5% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while UT Cotopaxi holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UT Cotopaxi

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

25.5%

UT Cotopaxi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

22 de JulioDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UT CotopaxiDDWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
22 de JulioUT Cotopaxi
15.9Attack41.7
54.0Defence78.3
23.8Form61.7
34.1Power62.4
0.32xG1.15
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