22 de Juliovs
Santo Domingo
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 8/27/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santo Domingo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 22 de Julio 0-0 Santo Domingo, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
22 de Julio 0-3 Santo Domingo
Original prediction
Santo Domingo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.91 | 23.0% | 18.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.1% | 36.6% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 46.9% | 44.5% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
22 de Julio 0–0 Santo Domingo
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Santo Domingo
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Santo Domingo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80