22 de Juliovs
LDU Portoviejo
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 10/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LDU Portoviejo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 22 de Julio 0-1 LDU Portoviejo, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
22 de Julio 2-2 LDU Portoviejo
Original prediction
LDU Portoviejo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.32 | 7.2% | 11.5% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 7.42 | 12.0% | 23.3% | 11.3 pts |
| Away | 1.11 | 80.7% | 65.2% | -15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Projected Score
22 de Julio 0–1 LDU Portoviejo
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
LDU Portoviejo
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
LDU Portoviejo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 25 · avg 1.60/5.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20