22 de Juliovs
Cumbayá
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/17/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cumbayá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 22 de Julio 0-0 Cumbayá, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
22 de Julio 1-7 Cumbayá
Original prediction
Cumbayá
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.10 | 14.6% | 17.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.5% | 30.3% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 61.9% | 51.8% | -10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Projected Score
22 de Julio 0–0 Cumbayá
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Cumbayá
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Cumbayá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
22 de JulioLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 12 · avg 0.00/2.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
CumbayáLLDLD
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
22 de JulioCumbayá
13.3Attack30.7
46.7Defence66.7
20.0Form36.0
30.0Power45.9
0.48xG0.94