2 de Mayovs
Sportivo Luqueno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/1/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
2 de Mayo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 2 de Mayo 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
2 de Mayo 2-2 Sportivo Luqueno
Original prediction
2 de Mayo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.4% | 54.5% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.3% | 25.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 29.3% | 20.0% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Projected Score
2 de Mayo 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
2 de Mayo
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
2 de Mayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00