GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

2 de Mayo · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: 2 de Mayo 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

2 de Mayo 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano

Original prediction

2 de Mayo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6334.9%43.0%8.1 pts
Draw3.0030.6%30.5%-0.1 pts
Away2.6634.5%26.6%-7.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.1 pts

Projected Score

2 de Mayo 0–0 Sportivo Ameliano

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

2 de Mayo

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

2 de Mayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

2 de MayoWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo AmelianoLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
2 de MayoSportivo Ameliano
41.0Attack38.5
66.7Defence61.5
64.1Form46.2
59.9Power51.1
1.04xG0.68
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