2 de Mayovs
SOL DE America
COMPLETEDParaguay · Copa Paraguay · 9/22/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
2 de Mayo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
2 de Mayo 0-4 SOL DE America
Original prediction
2 de Mayo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.9% | 43.4% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 26.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.2% | 29.7% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
2 de Mayo
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
2 de Mayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40