2 de Mayovs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/11/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
2 de Mayo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
2 de Mayo 0-2 Libertad Asuncion
Original prediction
2 de Mayo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.75 | 24.5% | 40.3% | 15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.4% | 27.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 47.0% | 31.9% | -15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
2 de Mayo
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
2 de Mayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20