2 de Mayovs
Deportivo Recoleta
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/24/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
2 de Mayo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 2 de Mayo 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
2 de Mayo 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta
Original prediction
2 de Mayo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 42.0% | 55.5% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.7% | 25.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.3% | 19.2% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Projected Score
2 de Mayo 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
2 de Mayo
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
2 de Mayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80