GGOALVIO

Germany · Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1899 Hoffenheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Mediumconfidence

1. FC Köln are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while 1899 Hoffenheim are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and 1899 Hoffenheim hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Bundesliga, while 1899 Hoffenheim holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

1899 Hoffenheim

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

10.0%

1899 Hoffenheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1. FC KölnWDWLL

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
1899 HoffenheimLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
27.5Attack64.7
41.2Defence35.3
26.5Form45.1
34.3Power49.3
1.14xG2.21
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