GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/27/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

1960 Hanau are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1960 HanauLLDLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb MarburgWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
1960 HanauVfb Marburg
83.3Attack50.0
25.0Defence66.7
41.7Form66.7
51.6Power64.8
1.92xG1.95
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