GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/13/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

1960 Hanau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1960 HanauDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vfb MarburgLDWLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
1960 HanauVfb Marburg
83.3Attack50.0
25.0Defence66.7
41.7Form66.7
51.6Power64.8
1.92xG1.95
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