GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/23/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1960 Hanau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

1960 Hanau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fernwald are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and 1960 Hanau hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while 1960 Hanau holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

1960 Hanau

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

1960 Hanau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1960 HanauWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
1960 HanauFernwald
83.3Attack41.7
25.0Defence58.3
41.7Form41.7
51.6Power48.8
2.17xG1.73
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