GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/2/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1960 Hanau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

1960 Hanau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and 1960 Hanau hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while 1960 Hanau holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

1960 Hanau

Probability

67.7%

Model confidence

67.7%

1960 Hanau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1960 HanauWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
1960 HanauFC 1906 Erlensee
83.3Attack41.2
25.0Defence30.4
41.7Form26.5
51.6Power34.5
3.19xG1.39
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