1899 Hoffenheim Wvs
VfL Wolfsburg W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1899 Hoffenheim W 2-1 VfL Wolfsburg W
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.59 | 13.5% | 19.4% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.95 | 18.0% | 20.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 68.5% | 60.0% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg W
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
VfL Wolfsburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20