GGOALVIO

Germany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1899 Hoffenheim W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

1899 Hoffenheim W 3-1 Mainz 05 W

Original prediction

1899 Hoffenheim W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2372.8%65.6%-7.1 pts
Draw5.4816.4%18.6%2.2 pts
Away8.2410.9%15.8%5.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.2–09%
  3. 3.3–18%

Predicted outcome

1899 Hoffenheim W

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

1899 Hoffenheim W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1899 Hoffenheim WWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Mainz 05 WLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
1899 Hoffenheim WMainz 05 W
44.4Attack14.3
38.9Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
41.9Power10.4
2.60xG1.05
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