1899 Hoffenheim Wvs
Bayer Leverkusen W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/4/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1899 Hoffenheim W 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen W
Original prediction
Bayer Leverkusen W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 25.9% | 30.9% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.2% | 26.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.0% | 42.4% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen W
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Bayer Leverkusen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20