GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

1899 Hoffenheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lyon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lyon

Probability

62.9%

Model confidence

62.9%

Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1899 HoffenheimLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LyonDDLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
1899 HoffenheimLyon
45.8Attack80.6
41.7Defence55.6
37.5Form61.1
43.9Power65.3
1.25xG2.65
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