Oberliga - Bayern SüdOberliga - Bayern Süd
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:37
1880 Wasserburg

1880 Wasserburg

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13
Full time
Gundelfingen

Gundelfingen

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
1880 Wasserburg(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
1880 Wasserburg
44%
Draw
28%
Gundelfingen
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.55 xG for 1880 Wasserburg and 0.98 xG for Gundelfingen. Gundelfingen's projected xG of 0.98 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.54 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Gundelfingen)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Gundelfingen)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GundelfingenGundelfingen
W

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
1880 Wasserburg44%
Draw28%
Gundelfingen28%

1880 Wasserburg leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

1880 Wasserburg Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

1880 Wasserburg take on Gundelfingen in Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.55 expected goals for 1880 Wasserburg against 0.98 for Gundelfingen — a clear advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Gundelfingen have won 1 of their last 5 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While 1880 Wasserburg carry the stronger underlying metrics, Gundelfingen's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

1880 Wasserburg are generating a clear xG advantage — 1.55 projected against 0.98 for Gundelfingen. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.57 is the clearest signal in the model that 1880 Wasserburg are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. 1880 Wasserburg are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • 1880 Wasserburg have been conceding 3.16 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Gundelfingen

Gundelfingen

W
vs Landsberg
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win 1880 Wasserburg vs Gundelfingen?

GoalVio's model predicts 1880 Wasserburg to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for 1880 Wasserburg vs Gundelfingen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in 1880 Wasserburg vs Gundelfingen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in 1880 Wasserburg vs Gundelfingen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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