1860 Rosenheimvs
Erlbach
SCHEDULEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
1860 Rosenheim are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, favouring a draw with 12.7% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.9%
Model confidence
12.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60