15 de Agostovs
Simba
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Champions League · 10/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Simba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
15 de Agosto 1-6 Simba
Original prediction
Simba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 08:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 15.50 | 5.7% | 29.9% | 24.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.62 | 13.4% | 25.8% | 12.3 pts |
| Away | 1.10 | 80.8% | 44.4% | -36.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-36.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Simba
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Simba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
15 de AgostoWWLDW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SimbaWWWWW
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
15 de AgostoSimba
83.3Attack100.0
100.0Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
92.8Power91.8
1.13xG0.96