GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 10/3/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1461 Trabzon FK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

1461 Trabzon FK 4-1 Serik Spor

Original prediction

1461 Trabzon FK

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6234.5%36.4%1.8 pts
Draw3.2727.7%28.2%0.5 pts
Away2.4037.8%35.5%-2.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–09%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

1461 Trabzon FK

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

1461 Trabzon FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1461 Trabzon FKWDLLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Serik SporLDWDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
1461 Trabzon FKSerik Spor
50.0Attack33.3
41.7Defence66.7
33.3Form41.7
44.6Power50.3
1.32xG1.25
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