1461 Trabzon FKvs
Sakaryaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1461 Trabzon FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1461 Trabzon FK 2-3 Sakaryaspor
Original prediction
1461 Trabzon FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.6% | 45.4% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 26.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.9% | 28.0% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
1461 Trabzon FK
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
1461 Trabzon FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80