GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1461 Trabzon FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

1461 Trabzon FK 2-1 İnegölspor

Original prediction

1461 Trabzon FK

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7950.4%53.9%3.5 pts
Draw3.6025.1%22.7%-2.3 pts
Away3.6824.5%23.4%-1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

1461 Trabzon FK

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

1461 Trabzon FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1461 Trabzon FKDWWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
İnegölsporWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
1461 Trabzon FKİnegölspor
66.7Attack40.0
44.4Defence33.3
44.4Form26.7
52.8Power36.3
2.31xG1.23
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