1461 Trabzon FKvs
Ankara Demirspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankara Demirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1461 Trabzon FK 2-2 Ankara Demirspor
Original prediction
Ankara Demirspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 30.7% | 28.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.2% | 26.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.1% | 44.4% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Ankara Demirspor
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Ankara Demirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20