12 de Junio VHvs
Sportivo Carapeguá
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
12 de Junio VH · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 12 de Junio VH 2-0 Sportivo Carapeguá, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
12 de Junio VH 0-1 Sportivo Carapeguá
Original prediction
12 de Junio VH
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.0% | 68.7% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.7% | 19.6% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.4% | 11.6% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Projected Score
12 de Junio VH 2–0 Sportivo Carapeguá
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
12 de Junio VH
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
12 de Junio VH has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40