1. FC Nürnbergvs
Hannover 96
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Nürnberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Hannover 96
Original prediction
1. FC Nürnberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.9% | 52.5% | 15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 25.3% | 22.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 37.8% | 24.8% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Nürnberg
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
1. FC Nürnberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40