1. FC Magdeburgvs
Karlsruher SC
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Magdeburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Magdeburg 6-1 Karlsruher SC
Original prediction
1. FC Magdeburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 52.1% | 58.4% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.5% | 21.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 24.5% | 20.6% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Magdeburg
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
1. FC Magdeburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40