1. FC Magdeburgvs
Hannover 96
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Magdeburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Magdeburg 3-0 Hannover 96
Original prediction
1. FC Magdeburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.7% | 47.9% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 24.0% | 23.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 37.3% | 28.4% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Magdeburg
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
1. FC Magdeburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00