1. FC Magdeburgvs
1. FC Kaiserslautern
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Kaiserslautern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Magdeburg 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Original prediction
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 42.0% | 36.0% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.8% | 25.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 32.2% | 38.2% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
1. FC Kaiserslautern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20