Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 31 July 202611:00Updated today
1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln

Home
L
vs
11:00
Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Hertha BSC33%
1. FC Köln33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
1. FC Köln
33%
Draw
33%
Hertha BSC
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
1. FC Köln
34
Hertha BSC
34
Defence
1. FC Köln
0
Hertha BSC
0
Momentum
1. FC Köln
0
Hertha BSC
0
Danger (xG)
1. FC Köln
0.90
Hertha BSC
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (1. FC Köln)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Hertha BSC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (1. FC Köln)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Hertha BSC)
5.40
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
L
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
1. FC Köln33%
Draw33%
Hertha BSC33%

Hertha BSC leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

1. FC Köln head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Hertha BSC arrive in mixed form (L). 1. FC Köln have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Hertha BSC over 1 games.

The model rates 1. FC Köln's attack at 34/100 against a 0/100 Hertha BSC defence, and Hertha BSC's attack at 34/100 against a 0/100 1. FC Köln backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

1. FC Köln have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Hertha BSC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 6.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between 1. FC Köln and Hertha BSC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: 1. FC Köln 3333%, Draw 3333%, Hertha BSC 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln

L
@ Bayern München
16 May 2026
15
Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC

L
@ Arminia Bielefeld
17 May 2026
16

Frequently asked questions

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more