1. FC Kölnvs
1899 Hoffenheim
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1899 Hoffenheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 Hoffenheim
Original prediction
1899 Hoffenheim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 32.0% | 22.1% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.9% | 20.4% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 42.1% | 57.4% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
1899 Hoffenheim
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
1899 Hoffenheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20