GGOALVIO

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Kaiserslautern · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Kaiserslautern 3-0 SV Darmstadt 98

Original prediction

FC Kaiserslautern

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1842.9%44.5%1.6 pts
Draw3.5326.5%27.2%0.7 pts
Away3.0530.6%28.4%-2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

FC Kaiserslautern

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

FC Kaiserslautern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC KaiserslauternWWDDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SV Darmstadt 98LWLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC KaiserslauternSV Darmstadt 98
22.2Attack22.2
88.9Defence55.6
55.6Form11.1
59.1Power32.9
1.54xG0.99
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