1. FC Kaiserslauternvs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Kaiserslautern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Original prediction
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.6% | 56.5% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.5% | 22.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 5.37 | 16.9% | 21.0% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–18%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
1. FC Kaiserslautern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40