1. FC Heidenheimvs
Würzburger Kickers
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Heidenheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Heidenheim 3-1 Würzburger Kickers
Original prediction
1. FC Heidenheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.0% | 43.9% | -23.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.4% | 23.5% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 6.22 | 14.5% | 32.6% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–26%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Heidenheim
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
1. FC Heidenheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60