1. FC Heidenheimvs
Energie Cottbus
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Heidenheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Energie Cottbus
Original prediction
1. FC Heidenheim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 54.5% | 51.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 21.1% | 19.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.4% | 29.1% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Heidenheim
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
1. FC Heidenheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40