1. FC Heidenheimvs
Dynamo Dresden
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Heidenheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Heidenheim 5-3 Dynamo Dresden
Original prediction
1. FC Heidenheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 42.1% | 42.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 32.2% | 31.6% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Heidenheim
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
1. FC Heidenheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 17 · avg 2.60/3.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20