1. FC Heidenheimvs
1. FC Kaiserslautern
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Heidenheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Original prediction
1. FC Heidenheim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.5% | 45.1% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.8% | 24.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 24.7% | 30.0% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–07%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Heidenheim
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
1. FC Heidenheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00